LAD vs DET — August 30, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation has completed 10,000 iterations for this matchup. The market spread is 1.5 with a total of 7.5. Projected scores and win probabilities are shown below; the model edge, recommended pick and Kelly unit sizing are premium.
DET
2.8
Projected Score
VS
O/U 7.5
LAD
2.7
Projected Score
Win Probability
DETLAD
+1.5
Run Line (DET)
7.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Starting Pitcher Matchup
Tyler Glasnow R
LAD
usagewhiffbar labels show usage · mph
FF32%95 mph12% whiff
KC22%80 mph50% whiff
SI21%96 mph21% whiff
Framber Valdez L
DET
usagewhiffbar labels show usage · mph
SI45%94 mph8% whiff
CU29%78 mph28% whiff
CH19%89 mph20% whiff
Weather Impact
Comerica Park
76°F8 mph wind
HR: 0.995 Total: 0.995
thin air, 7mph in
Bullpen Comparison
LAD
3.92ERA
3.88FIP
10.09K/9
4.21BB/9
1.27WHIP
DET
4.12ERA
4.59FIP
8.41K/9
4.19BB/9
1.31WHIP
Betting Edges
First 5 Innings & NRFI
LAD F5
1.3 runs
34.3% win
DET F5
1.6 runs
41.0% win
F5 Total
2.9
NRFI
67.7%
YRFI
32.3%
Avg 1st Inn Runs
0.60
HR Spotlight
Injury Report
LAD8 injured
Justin Wrobleski SP15-DAY-IL
Roki Sasaki SP15-DAY-IL
Gavin Stone SP60-DAY-IL
Will Smith C60-DAY-IL
Jake Cousins RP60-DAY-IL
Andy Pages CF10-DAY-IL
+2 more
DET8 injured
Riley Greene LF10-DAY-IL
Matt Vierling CF10-DAY-IL
Brant Hurter RP60-DAY-IL
Jack Flaherty SP15-DAY-IL
Kerry Carpenter RF10-DAY-IL
Wenceel Perez RF60-DAY-IL
+2 more
AI Intelligence Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets MLB Baseball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded MLB 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the MLB 2026 season report card.