OAK vs SEA prediction for September 3, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects SEA 3.9 - OAK 3.1. SEA is favored with a 59.2% win probability. the total is 8.5. Model projects 7.0 total runs.
SEA
3.9
Projected Score
VS
O/U 8.5
OAK
3.1
Projected Score
Win Probability
SEAOAK
N/A
Run Line
8.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 62.1% (3,563 games)
Projected Runs Range 10th – 90th percentile
OAK
135
SEA
246
Starting Pitcher Matchup
TBD R TBD
OAK
TBD R TBD
SEA
Weather Impact
T-Mobile Park
62°F3 mph windRoof: retractable
HR: 1.028 Total: 1.016
neutral
Bullpen Comparison
OAK
5.35ERA
4.40FIP
9.58K/9
4.61BB/9
1.57WHIP
SEA
3.96ERA
4.11FIP
8.59K/9
3.40BB/9
1.32WHIP
First 5 Innings & NRFI
OAK F5
1.6 runs
33.1% win
SEA F5
2.1 runs
46.7% win
F5 Total
3.7
NRFI
65.0%
YRFI
35.0%
Avg 1st Inn Runs
0.67
HR Spotlight
Injury Report
OAK8 injured
Tommy White 3BDAY-TO-DAY
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer 3B60-DAY-IL
Jacob Wilson SS60-DAY-IL
Shea Langeliers C10-DAY-IL
Nick Kurtz 1B60-DAY-IL
Tyler Soderstrom LF60-DAY-IL
+2 more
SEA8 injured
Colt Emerson SS60-DAY-IL
Nick Davila RP15-DAY-IL
Emerson Hancock SP15-DAY-IL
Matt Brash RP60-DAY-IL
Brendan Donovan 3B7-DAY IL
Luke Raley RF60-DAY-IL
+2 more
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets MLB Baseball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded MLB 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the MLB 2026 season report card.