OAK vs SEA prediction for September 3, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects SEA 4.1 - OAK 3.6. SEA is favored with a 56.5% win probability. The run line is -1.5 and the total is 7.5. Model projects 7.7 total runs.
SEA
4.1
Projected Score
VS
O/U 7.5
OAK
3.6
Projected Score
Win Probability
SEAOAK
-1.5
Run Line (SEA)
7.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 59.5% (3,693 games)
Projected Runs Range 10th – 90th percentile
OAK
246
SEA
246
Projected
SEA 4.1 — OAK 3.6
Actual
SEA 4 — OAK 7
Starting Pitcher Matchup
Jack Perkins R
OAK
usagewhiffbar labels show usage · mph
FF31%96 mph15% whiff
ST29%86 mph35% whiff
CH18%90 mph39% whiff
Kade Anderson L
SEA
usagewhiffbar labels show usage · mph
FF39%94 mph19% whiff
SL25%89 mph24% whiff
CH19%85 mph19% whiff
Weather Impact
T-Mobile Park
64°F2 mph windRoof: retractable
HR: 1.012 Total: 1.006
neutral
Bullpen Comparison
OAK
5.31ERA
4.38FIP
9.58K/9
4.58BB/9
1.56WHIP
SEA
3.97ERA
4.12FIP
8.55K/9
3.37BB/9
1.32WHIP
Betting Edges
First 5 Innings & NRFI
OAK F5
2.0 runs
39.6% win
SEA F5
2.2 runs
42.6% win
F5 Total
4.3
NRFI
60.7%
YRFI
39.4%
Avg 1st Inn Runs
0.77
HR Spotlight
Injury Report
OAK8 injured
Tommy White 3BDAY-TO-DAY
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer 3B60-DAY-IL
Jacob Wilson SS60-DAY-IL
Shea Langeliers C10-DAY-IL
Nick Kurtz 1B60-DAY-IL
Tyler Soderstrom LF60-DAY-IL
+2 more
SEA8 injured
Colt Emerson SS60-DAY-IL
Nick Davila RP15-DAY-IL
Emerson Hancock SP15-DAY-IL
Matt Brash RP60-DAY-IL
Brendan Donovan 3B7-DAY IL
Luke Raley RF60-DAY-IL
+2 more
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets MLB Baseball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded MLB 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the MLB 2026 season report card.