DAL vs MIA prediction for October 26, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects MIA 123.0 - DAL 116.9. MIA is favored with a 65.1% win probability. The spread is -7.5 and the total is 241.5.
MIA
123.0
Projected Score
VS
O/U 241.5
DAL
116.9
Projected Score
Win Probability
MIADAL
-7.5
Spread (MIA)
241.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 62.1% (1,252 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
DAL
107117127
MIA
113123133
Model Projection
🔒
Premium Analysis Available
This game has a high-conviction premium projection in Today's Best Bets.
Unlock PremiumStarting Lineups
DAL5 OUT
Kyrie Irving24.1PPG4.5RPG4.4APG
Cooper Flagg21.3PPG6.5RPG4.5APG
P.J. Washington14.1PPG7.0RPG1.7APG
Max Christie11.7PPG3.4RPG2.0APG
Zaccharie Risacher9.4PPG4.1RPG1.2APG
MIAHealthy
Bam Adebayo18.9PPG9.5RPG3.3APG
Davion Mitchell10.6PPG2.4RPG6.8APG
Andrew Wiggins14.1PPG4.6RPG2.5APG
Giannis Antetokounmpo27.7PPG9.5RPG5.0APG
Pelle Larsson10.9PPG3.6RPG3.3APG
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NBA Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded NBA 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the NBA 2026 season report card.