NBA Basketball

PHX vs OKC Prediction

October 26, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

PHX vs OKC prediction for October 26, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects OKC 114.9 - PHX 104.6. OKC is favored with a 75.6% win probability. The spread is -8.5 and the total is 221.5.

OKC
114.9
Projected Score
VS O/U 221.5
PHX
104.6
Projected Score
Win Probability
75.6%
24.4%
OKCPHX
-8.5
Spread (OKC)
221.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
☑ Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 77.7% (1,252 games)

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

PHX
95105115
OKC
105115125
Model Confidence67/100 (MARGINAL)

Model Projection

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Starting Lineups

PHX2 OUT
Devin Booker26.9PPG4.1RPG5.9APG
Miles Bridges16.5PPG5.8RPG3.0APG
Dillon Brooks19.3PPG3.6RPG1.9APG
Collin Gillespie11.8PPG3.9RPG4.7APG
Jalen Green17.0PPG3.4RPG2.7APG
OKC6 OUT
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander30.6PPG4.4RPG6.2APG
Ajay Mitchell13.2PPG3.4RPG3.6APG
Josh Dix7.2PPG2.4RPG1.8APG
Isaiah Hartenstein8.9PPG9.0RPG3.3APG
Aday Mara9.8PPG5.8RPG2.0APG

AI Intelligence Analysis

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Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NBA Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded NBA 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the NBA 2026 season report card.

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