NBA Basketball

WAS vs CHA Prediction

October 26, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

WAS vs CHA prediction for October 26, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects CHA 115.0 - WAS 111.7. CHA is favored with a 57.6% win probability. The spread is -2.5 and the total is 226.5.

CHA
115.0
Projected Score
VS O/U 226.5
WAS
111.7
Projected Score
Win Probability
57.6%
42.4%
CHAWAS
-2.5
Spread (CHA)
226.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
☑ Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 57.3% (1,252 games)

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

WAS
102112122
CHA
105115125
Model Confidence45/100 (PASS)

Model Projection

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Starting Lineups

WAS3 OUT
Anthony Davis20.4PPG10.7RPG2.8APG
Kyshawn George15.2PPG5.2RPG4.3APG
Trae Young18.7PPG1.9RPG8.6APG
Alex Sarr14.9PPG7.0RPG2.8APG
Bilal Coulibaly11.4PPG4.3RPG2.2APG
CHA4 OUT
Brandon Miller20.0PPG4.8RPG3.1APG
Grayson Allen16.6PPG3.0RPG3.9APG
Naz Reid14.7PPG6.6RPG2.3APG
Royce O'Neale9.0PPG4.4RPG2.2APG
Moussa Diabate8.0PPG8.4RPG1.9APG

AI Intelligence Analysis

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Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NBA Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded NBA 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the NBA 2026 season report card.

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