NBA Basketball

MIN vs CLE Prediction

October 26, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

MIN vs CLE prediction for October 26, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects CLE 116.7 - MIN 115.2. CLE is favored with a 52.4% win probability. The spread is -4.5 and the total is 231.5.

CLE
116.7
Projected Score
VS O/U 231.5
MIN
115.2
Projected Score
Win Probability
52.4%
47.6%
CLEMIN
-4.5
Spread (CLE)
231.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
☑ Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 49.7% (1,252 games)

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

MIN
105115125
CLE
107117127
Model Confidence75/100 (GOOD)

Model Projection

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Starting Lineups

MIN1 OUT
Anthony Edwards28.8PPG5.0RPG3.6APG
Jaden McDaniels14.9PPG4.6RPG2.7APG
Rudy Gobert10.6PPG11.6RPG1.5APG
LaMelo Ball19.4PPG4.5RPG7.0APG
Ayo Dosunmu14.5PPG3.7RPG3.9APG
CLEHealthy
James Harden22.5PPG4.9RPG7.7APG
Donovan Mitchell27.8PPG4.9RPG5.4APG
Evan Mobley18.3PPG9.0RPG3.5APG
Peyton Watson14.0PPG4.5RPG2.2APG
Jarrett Allen15.6PPG8.4RPG1.6APG

AI Intelligence Analysis

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Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NBA Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded NBA 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the NBA 2026 season report card.

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