GSW vs DEN prediction for October 26, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects DEN 122.5 - GSW 113.8. DEN is favored with a 72.8% win probability. The spread is -7.5 and the total is 236.5.
DEN
122.5
Projected Score
VS
O/U 236.5
GSW
113.8
Projected Score
Win Probability
DENGSW
-7.5
Spread (DEN)
236.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 75.8% (1,252 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
GSW
104114124
DEN
113122132
Model Projection
🔒
Premium Analysis Available
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Unlock PremiumStarting Lineups
GSW3 OUT
Stephen Curry26.2PPG3.4RPG4.5APG
Brandin Podziemski14.1PPG4.9RPG3.7APG
Yaxel Lendeborg16.7PPG7.7RPG4.1APG
Draymond Green7.8PPG5.4RPG5.7APG
De'Anthony Melton12.2PPG3.1RPG2.5APG
DEN4 OUT
Jamal Murray25.2PPG4.6RPG6.8APG
Nikola Jokic27.2PPG12.6RPG10.3APG
Christian Braun11.8PPG5.1RPG2.6APG
DeMar DeRozan17.7PPG2.9RPG3.8APG
Aaron Gordon15.9PPG5.8RPG2.6APG
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NBA Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded NBA 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the NBA 2026 season report card.