MEM vs UTA prediction for October 26, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects UTA 118.1 - MEM 120.8. MEM is favored with a 55.7% win probability. The spread is 1.5 and the total is 237.5.
UTA
118.1
Projected Score
VS
O/U 237.5
MEM
120.8
Projected Score
Win Probability
UTAMEM
+1.5
Spread (UTA)
237.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 56.1% (1,252 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
MEM
111121131
UTA
108118128
Model Projection
🔒
Premium Analysis Available
This game has a high-conviction premium projection in Today's Best Bets.
Unlock PremiumStarting Lineups
MEM1 OUT
Jerami Grant16.9PPG3.3RPG2.3APG
Jaylen Wells12.9PPG3.4RPG1.7APG
Cedric Coward13.3PPG6.2RPG2.7APG
Cameron Boozer14.9PPG8.1RPG3.9APG
Ty Jerome22.2PPG3.1RPG5.7APG
UTA3 OUT
Lauri Markkanen25.7PPG7.0RPG2.2APG
Keyonte George23.3PPG3.8RPG6.5APG
Jaren Jackson Jr.19.4PPG5.7RPG2.0APG
Darryn Peterson12.1PPG3.9RPG3.1APG
Ace Bailey13.4PPG4.8RPG2.0APG
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NBA Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded NBA 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the NBA 2026 season report card.