GSW vs PHX prediction for October 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects PHX 113.8 - GSW 109.7. PHX is favored with a 61.2% win probability. The spread is -6.5 and the total is 224.5.
PHX
113.8
Projected Score
VS
O/U 224.5
GSW
109.7
Projected Score
Win Probability
PHXGSW
-6.5
Spread (PHX)
224.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 61.4% (1,219 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
GSW
100110120
PHX
104114124
Model Projection
🔒
Premium Analysis Available
This game has a high-conviction premium projection in Today's Best Bets.
Unlock PremiumStarting Lineups
GSW4 OUT
Stephen Curry26.3PPG3.5RPG4.5APG
Brandin Podziemski13.8PPG5.1RPG3.7APG
Draymond Green8.0PPG5.4RPG5.7APG
Yaxel Lendeborg15.0PPG6.7RPG3.7APG
De'Anthony Melton11.5PPG3.1RPG2.5APG
PHX2 OUT
Devin Booker25.9PPG3.9RPG5.8APG
Miles Bridges16.5PPG5.7RPG3.0APG
Dillon Brooks19.6PPG3.6RPG1.7APG
Collin Gillespie11.9PPG3.9RPG4.5APG
Jalen Green17.3PPG3.5RPG2.9APG
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NBA Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
More Projections Today
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded NBA 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the NBA 2026 season report card.