NBA Basketball

SAS vs DAL Prediction

October 24, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

SAS vs DAL prediction for October 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects DAL 110.3 - SAS 121.7. SAS is favored with a 77.6% win probability. The spread is 11.5 and the total is 230.5.

DAL
110.3
Projected Score
VS O/U 230.5
SAS
121.7
Projected Score
Win Probability
22.4%
77.6%
DALSAS
+11.5
Spread (DAL)
230.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
☑ Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 78.7% (1,219 games)

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

SAS
112122132
DAL
100110120
Tip-off: 2026-10-24 20:10 ETDAL ML: +370SAS ML: -476
Model Confidence40/100 (MARGINAL)

Model Projection

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Starting Lineups

SAS2 OUT
De'Aaron Fox18.3PPG4.0RPG6.2APG
Devin Vassell13.5PPG4.0RPG2.4APG
Stephon Castle17.1PPG5.4RPG7.0APG
Victor Wembanyama24.2PPG11.6RPG3.1APG
Julian Champagnie10.9PPG5.6RPG1.5APG
DAL6 OUT
Kyrie Irving24.1PPG4.8RPG4.5APG
P.J. Washington13.9PPG6.8RPG1.8APG
Naji Marshall15.3PPG4.5RPG3.4APG
Max Christie11.8PPG3.2RPG2.0APG
Zaccharie Risacher9.2PPG4.0RPG1.2APG

Model Edge & Sizing

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Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NBA Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded NBA 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the NBA 2026 season report card.

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