NBA Basketball

MIL vs PHI Prediction

October 24, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

MIL vs PHI prediction for October 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects PHI 121.1 - MIL 109.1. PHI is favored with a 79.2% win probability. The spread is -12.5 and the total is 232.5.

PHI
121.1
Projected Score
VS O/U 232.5
MIL
109.1
Projected Score
Win Probability
79.2%
20.8%
PHIMIL
-12.5
Spread (PHI)
232.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
☑ Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 79.4% (1,219 games)

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

MIL
99109119
PHI
111121131
Tip-off: 2026-10-24 19:40 ETPHI ML: -625MIL ML: +460
Model Confidence45/100 (GOOD)

Model Projection

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Starting Lineups

MILHealthy
Ryan Rollins16.8PPG4.7RPG5.4APG
Tyler Herro20.7PPG4.6RPG4.4APG
Jaime Jaquez Jr.15.8PPG5.1RPG4.5APG
AJ Green10.1PPG2.6RPG1.9APG
Myles Turner11.9PPG5.3RPG1.5APG
PHI4 OUT
Tyrese Maxey28.5PPG4.1RPG6.5APG
VJ Edgecombe15.3PPG5.6RPG4.1APG
Jaylen Brown27.7PPG7.1RPG5.1APG
LeBron James20.3PPG6.5RPG7.1APG
Joel Embiid25.9PPG7.9RPG3.9APG

Model Edge & Sizing

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Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NBA Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded NBA 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the NBA 2026 season report card.

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