NOP vs DEN prediction for October 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects DEN 124.1 - NOP 112.7. DEN is favored with a 77.3% win probability. The spread is -11.5 and the total is 237.5.
DEN
124.1
Projected Score
VS
O/U 237.5
NOP
112.7
Projected Score
Win Probability
DENNOP
-11.5
Spread (DEN)
237.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 78.0% (1,219 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
NOP
103113123
DEN
114124134
Model Projection
🔒
Premium Analysis Available
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Unlock PremiumStarting Lineups
NOPHealthy
Trey Murphy III20.9PPG5.6RPG3.6APG
Julian Reese11.8PPG10.5RPG1.8APG
Saddiq Bey17.4PPG5.5RPG2.4APG
Zion Williamson21.1PPG5.5RPG3.2APG
Bennedict Mathurin17.2PPG5.3RPG2.4APG
DEN3 OUT
Jamal Murray24.2PPG4.8RPG6.9APG
Nikola Jokic26.8PPG12.5RPG10.4APG
Christian Braun11.6PPG4.9RPG2.6APG
DeMar DeRozan18.1PPG2.9RPG3.8APG
Aaron Gordon16.4PPG5.8RPG2.6APG
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NBA Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded NBA 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the NBA 2026 season report card.