MIA vs CHA prediction for October 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects CHA 116.1 - MIA 115.6. CHA is favored with a 51.7% win probability. The spread is 3.5 and the total is 232.5.
CHA
116.1
Projected Score
VS
O/U 232.5
MIA
115.6
Projected Score
Win Probability
CHAMIA
+3.5
Spread (CHA)
232.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 52.4% (1,219 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
MIA
106116126
CHA
106116126
Model Projection
🔒
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Unlock PremiumStarting Lineups
MIAHealthy
Bam Adebayo19.8PPG9.8RPG3.2APG
Andrew Wiggins15.1PPG4.7RPG2.6APG
Giannis Antetokounmpo28.0PPG9.5RPG5.2APG
Davion Mitchell9.4PPG2.5RPG6.8APG
Pelle Larsson10.8PPG3.5RPG3.4APG
CHA4 OUT
Brandon Miller20.0PPG4.8RPG3.2APG
Grayson Allen16.8PPG3.0RPG3.8APG
Royce O'Neale9.7PPG4.7RPG2.5APG
Moussa Diabate8.4PPG8.7RPG2.0APG
Naz Reid14.0PPG6.5RPG2.5APG
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NBA Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded NBA 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the NBA 2026 season report card.