LAD vs MIA prediction for September 13, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects MIA 4.6 - LAD 4.6. MIA is favored with a 51.5% win probability. The run line is 1.5 and the total is 8.5. Model projects 9.2 total runs.
MIA
4.6
Projected Score
VS
O/U 8.5
LAD
4.6
Projected Score
Win Probability
MIALAD
+1.5
Run Line (MIA)
8.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 52.6% (3,908 games)
Projected Runs Range 10th – 90th percentile
LAD
357
MIA
357
Projected
MIA 4.6 — LAD 4.6
Actual
MIA 6 — LAD 4
Starting Pitcher Matchup
Emmet Sheehan R
LAD
usagewhiffbar labels show usage · mph
FF43%94 mph27% whiff
SL30%87 mph38% whiff
CH16%86 mph23% whiff
Eury Pérez R
MIA
usagewhiffbar labels show usage · mph
FF38%98 mph21% whiff
SI17%98 mph14% whiff
SL16%88 mph42% whiff
Weather Impact
loanDepot park
87°F5 mph windRoof: retractable
HR: 1.006 Total: 1.001
thin air, 5mph in
Bullpen Comparison
LAD
3.87ERA
3.82FIP
10.06K/9
4.06BB/9
1.26WHIP
MIA
4.25ERA
3.94FIP
9.69K/9
4.33BB/9
1.30WHIP
Betting Edges
First 5 Innings & NRFI
LAD F5
2.5 runs
39.7% win
MIA F5
2.7 runs
45.7% win
F5 Total
5.2
NRFI
52.5%
YRFI
47.5%
Avg 1st Inn Runs
1.04
HR Spotlight
Injury Report
LAD8 injured
Roki Sasaki SP15-DAY-IL
Shohei Ohtani DH15-DAY-IL
Eric Lauer SP60-DAY-IL
Edwin Diaz RP15-DAY-IL
Gavin Stone SP60-DAY-IL
Andy Pages CF10-DAY-IL
+2 more
MIA8 injured
Owen Caissie RFDAY-TO-DAY
Anthony Bender RP15-DAY-IL
Max Meyer SP15-DAY-IL
Xavier Edwards 2B10-DAY-IL
Andrew Nardi RP60-DAY-IL
William Kempner RP60-DAY-IL
+2 more
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets MLB Baseball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded MLB 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the MLB 2026 season report card.