NYY vs LAA prediction for August 31, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects LAA 2.7 - NYY 5.3. NYY is favored with a 65.8% win probability. the total is 7.5. Model projects 8.0 total runs.
LAA
2.7
Projected Score
VS
O/U 7.5
NYY
5.3
Projected Score
Win Probability
LAANYY
N/A
Run Line
7.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 66.5% (3,529 games)
Projected Runs Range 10th – 90th percentile
NYY
357
LAA
135
Starting Pitcher Matchup
Elmer Rodríguez R
NYY
usagewhiffbar labels show usage · mph
SI45%96 mph15% whiff
FF20%95 mph19% whiff
ST14%80 mph54% whiff
Walbert Ureña R
LAA
usagewhiffbar labels show usage · mph
CH33%91 mph32% whiff
SI31%98 mph17% whiff
FF21%98 mph20% whiff
Weather Impact
Angel Stadium
77°F8 mph wind
HR: 1.071 Total: 1.039
8mph out
Bullpen Comparison
NYY
3.11ERA
3.99FIP
8.46K/9
3.57BB/9
1.23WHIP
LAA
4.07ERA
4.22FIP
9.50K/9
3.90BB/9
1.34WHIP
Betting Edges
First 5 Innings & NRFI
NYY F5
3.1 runs
60.4% win
LAA F5
1.6 runs
24.5% win
F5 Total
4.7
NRFI
55.2%
YRFI
44.8%
Avg 1st Inn Runs
0.94
HR Spotlight
Injury Report
NYY8 injured
George Lombard Jr. SSDAY-TO-DAY
Ryan McMahon 3B10-DAY-IL
Clarke Schmidt SP60-DAY-IL
Fernando Cruz RP15-DAY-IL
Kervin Castro RP60-DAY-IL
Aaron Judge RF60-DAY-IL
+2 more
LAA8 injured
George Klassen SP15-DAY-IL
Nolan Schanuel 1B10-DAY-IL
Samy Natera Jr. RP15-DAY-IL
Gustavo Campero OF10-DAY-IL
Sam Bachman RP15-DAY-IL
Yoan Moncada 3B60-DAY-IL
+2 more
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets MLB Baseball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded MLB 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the MLB 2026 season report card.