TOR vs OAK prediction for September 8, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects OAK 5.7 - TOR 7.1. TOR is favored with a 61.9% win probability. The run line is 1.5 and the total is 9.0. Model projects 12.8 total runs.
OAK
5.7
Projected Score
VS
O/U 9.0
TOR
7.1
Projected Score
Win Probability
OAKTOR
+1.5
Run Line (OAK)
9.0
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 64.6% (3,814 games)
Projected Runs Range 10th – 90th percentile
TOR
579
OAK
468
Projected
OAK 5.7 — TOR 7.1
Actual
OAK 2 — TOR 4
Starting Pitcher Matchup
José Soriano R
TOR
usagewhiffbar labels show usage · mph
SI28%96 mph17% whiff
KC25%85 mph41% whiff
FF22%97 mph20% whiff
Jack Perkins R
OAK
usagewhiffbar labels show usage · mph
FF31%96 mph16% whiff
ST28%86 mph35% whiff
CH18%89 mph38% whiff
Weather Impact
Sutter Health Park
93°F5 mph wind
HR: 1.014 Total: 1.005
thin air
Bullpen Comparison
TOR
3.46ERA
4.10FIP
8.39K/9
3.89BB/9
1.28WHIP
OAK
5.20ERA
4.31FIP
9.69K/9
4.57BB/9
1.55WHIP
Betting Edges
First 5 Innings & NRFI
TOR F5
4.3 runs
54.8% win
OAK F5
3.2 runs
34.8% win
F5 Total
7.5
NRFI
40.9%
YRFI
59.1%
Avg 1st Inn Runs
1.58
HR Spotlight
Injury Report
TOR8 injured
Anthony Santander RF60-DAY-IL
Trey Yesavage SP15-DAY-IL
Cody Ponce SP60-DAY-IL
Patrick Corbin SP60-DAY-IL
Shane Bieber SP15-DAY-IL
Jameson Taillon SP15-DAY-IL
+2 more
OAK8 injured
Shea Langeliers C10-DAY-IL
J.T. Ginn SP15-DAY-IL
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer 3B60-DAY-IL
Jacob Wilson SS60-DAY-IL
Nick Kurtz 1B60-DAY-IL
Tyler Soderstrom LF60-DAY-IL
+2 more
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets MLB Baseball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded MLB 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the MLB 2026 season report card.