CLE vs LAA prediction for August 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects LAA 2.9 - CLE 3.4. CLE is favored with a 52.4% win probability. The run line is 1.5 and the total is 7.5. Model projects 6.3 total runs.
LAA
2.9
Projected Score
VS
O/U 7.5
CLE
3.4
Projected Score
Win Probability
LAACLE
+1.5
Run Line (LAA)
7.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 52.4% (3,347 games)
Projected Runs Range 10th – 90th percentile
CLE
135
LAA
135
Projected
LAA 2.9 — CLE 3.4
Actual
LAA 2 — CLE 4
Starting Pitcher Matchup
Parker Messick L
CLE
usagewhiffbar labels show usage · mph
FF39%94 mph24% whiff
CH24%86 mph34% whiff
SI16%93 mph8% whiff
George Klassen R
LAA
usagewhiffbar labels show usage · mph
FF40%97 mph20% whiff
SL26%91 mph48% whiff
CH21%87 mph22% whiff
Weather Impact
Angel Stadium
82°F12 mph wind
HR: 1.089 Total: 1.049
thin air, 11mph out
Bullpen Comparison
CLE
3.50ERA
3.85FIP
9.96K/9
3.90BB/9
1.26WHIP
LAA
3.79ERA
4.17FIP
9.40K/9
3.82BB/9
1.30WHIP
Betting Edges
First 5 Innings & NRFI
CLE F5
1.9 runs
46.1% win
LAA F5
1.4 runs
32.0% win
F5 Total
3.3
NRFI
67.1%
YRFI
32.9%
Avg 1st Inn Runs
0.62
HR Spotlight
Injury Report
CLE4 injured
Slade Cecconi SP15-DAY-IL
Rhys Hoskins 1B10-DAY-IL
Colin Holderman RPDAY-TO-DAY
Shawn Armstrong RP60-DAY-IL
LAA8 injured
Sam Bachman RP15-DAY-IL
Wade Meckler LF7-DAY IL
Nolan Schanuel 1B10-DAY-IL
Sebastian Rivero C60-DAY-IL
Samy Natera Jr. RP15-DAY-IL
Shaun Anderson RP15-DAY-IL
+2 more
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets MLB Baseball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded MLB 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the MLB 2026 season report card.