TEX vs CWS prediction for August 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects CWS 5.1 - TEX 4.0. CWS is favored with a 58.6% win probability. The run line is -1.5 and the total is 8.0. Model projects 9.1 total runs.
CWS
5.1
Projected Score
VS
O/U 8.0
TEX
4.0
Projected Score
Win Probability
CWSTEX
-1.5
Run Line (CWS)
8.0
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 62.6% (3,347 games)
Projected Runs Range 10th – 90th percentile
TEX
246
CWS
357
Projected
CWS 5.1 — TEX 4.0
Actual
CWS 2 — TEX 11
Starting Pitcher Matchup
Kumar Rocker R
TEX
usagewhiffbar labels show usage · mph
SL38%83 mph40% whiff
SI30%94 mph8% whiff
FC14%90 mph20% whiff
José Urquidy R
CWS
usagewhiffbar labels show usage · mph
CH31%84 mph30% whiff
FF21%93 mph17% whiff
SI20%93 mph0% whiff
Weather Impact
Rate Field
71°F8 mph wind
HR: 1.012 Total: 1.005
neutral
Bullpen Comparison
TEX
4.21ERA
4.34FIP
8.56K/9
3.77BB/9
1.33WHIP
CWS
4.04ERA
4.31FIP
9.21K/9
4.38BB/9
1.33WHIP
Betting Edges
First 5 Innings & NRFI
TEX F5
2.0 runs
30.9% win
CWS F5
3.1 runs
54.5% win
F5 Total
5.1
NRFI
54.4%
YRFI
45.6%
Avg 1st Inn Runs
0.96
HR Spotlight
Injury Report
TEX8 injured
Jack Leiter SP60-DAY-IL
Josh Jung 3B10-DAY-IL
Nathan Eovaldi SP15-DAY-IL
Jose Corniell RP60-DAY-IL
Jalen Beeks RP60-DAY-IL
Kyle Higashioka C10-DAY-IL
+2 more
CWSHealthy
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets MLB Baseball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded MLB 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the MLB 2026 season report card.