SEA vs LAA prediction for September 14, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects LAA 3.9 - SEA 3.6. LAA is favored with a 56.1% win probability. The run line is 1.5 and the total is 7.5. Model projects 7.6 total runs.
LAA
3.9
Projected Score
VS
O/U 7.5
SEA
3.6
Projected Score
Win Probability
LAASEA
+1.5
Run Line (LAA)
7.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 57.4% (3,916 games)
Projected Runs Range 10th – 90th percentile
SEA
246
LAA
246
Projected
LAA 3.9 — SEA 3.6
Actual
LAA 6 — SEA 4
Starting Pitcher Matchup
Kade Anderson L
SEA
usagewhiffbar labels show usage · mph
FF41%94 mph19% whiff
SL25%88 mph22% whiff
CH18%85 mph22% whiff
Reid Detmers L
LAA
usagewhiffbar labels show usage · mph
FF45%94 mph17% whiff
SL33%86 mph33% whiff
CU11%72 mph37% whiff
Weather Impact
Angel Stadium
74°F7 mph wind
HR: 1.065 Total: 1.035
7mph out
Bullpen Comparison
SEA
4.13ERA
4.22FIP
8.66K/9
3.36BB/9
1.33WHIP
LAA
4.15ERA
4.08FIP
9.53K/9
3.87BB/9
1.36WHIP
Betting Edges
First 5 Innings & NRFI
SEA F5
1.9 runs
34.3% win
LAA F5
2.4 runs
48.5% win
F5 Total
4.2
NRFI
57.5%
YRFI
42.5%
Avg 1st Inn Runs
0.89
HR Spotlight
Injury Report
SEA8 injured
Nick Davila RP60-DAY-IL
Matt Brash RP60-DAY-IL
Brendan Donovan 3B7-DAY IL
Brennen Davis CF60-DAY-IL
Colt Emerson SS60-DAY-IL
Emerson Hancock SP15-DAY-IL
+2 more
LAA8 injured
Yoan Moncada 3B60-DAY-IL
Gustavo Campero OF10-DAY-IL
Nolan Schanuel 1B10-DAY-IL
Sam Bachman RP15-DAY-IL
George Klassen SP15-DAY-IL
Jack Kochanowicz SP60-DAY-IL
+2 more
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets MLB Baseball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded MLB 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the MLB 2026 season report card.