1. FC Heidenheim vs Bayern Munich prediction for May 2, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Bayern Munich 3.19 - 1. FC Heidenheim 0.96. Bayern Munich is favored with a 70.1% win probability. Expected total goals: 4.2..
Bayern Munich
3.19
Projected Goals
VS
4.2 total
1. FC Heidenheim
0.96
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Bayern MunichDraw1. FC Heidenheim
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 78.6% (1,114 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
1. FC Heidenheim
0.21.01.7
Bayern Munich
2.43.24.0
Expected Goals (xG)
Bayern Munich3.19
1. FC Heidenheim0.93
23.3Shots13.4
10.4On Target4.3
6.4Corners5.4
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
99.1%
Over 1.5
93.0%
Over 2.5
53.5%
Over 3.5
49.7%
Under 2.5
46.5%
BTTS
51.8%
Most Likely Scores
3-1
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
4-1
7.6%
3-0
6.7%
3-2
5.9%
Match Context
BUNHigh
Bayern Munich
1.25
Draw
6.41
1. FC Heidenheim
11.30
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Bayern Munich 70.1%
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Total
4.2
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →