Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction for May 2, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Eintracht Frankfurt 1.35 - Hamburger SV 1.53. Hamburger SV is favored with a 39.2% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.9..
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.35
Projected Goals
VS
2.9 total
Hamburger SV
1.53
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawHamburger SV
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 73.1% (1,114 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Hamburger SV
0.81.52.3
Eintracht Frankfurt
0.61.42.1
Expected Goals (xG)
Eintracht Frankfurt1.31
Hamburger SV1.51
14.7Shots15.9
5.3On Target5.8
5.5Corners5.4
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
95.6%
Over 1.5
79.0%
Over 2.5
49.6%
Over 3.5
18.0%
Under 2.5
50.4%
BTTS
50.3%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
0-1
5.5%
Match Context
BUNMedium
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.95
Draw
3.30
Hamburger SV
4.35
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Hamburger SV 39.2%
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Total
2.9
+12.1 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →