Torino vs Udinese prediction for May 2, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Udinese 1.38 - Torino 1.46. Udinese is favored with a 69.2% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.8..
Udinese
1.38
Projected Goals
VS
2.8 total
Torino
1.46
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
UdineseDrawTorino
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 98.1% (1,051 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Torino
0.71.52.2
Udinese
0.61.42.2
Projected
Udinese 1.38 — Torino 1.46
Actual
Udinese 2 — Torino 0
Expected Goals (xG)
Udinese1.37
Torino1.43
15.0Shots15.5
5.4On Target5.7
5.4Corners5.5
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
95.8%
Over 1.5
78.6%
Over 2.5
49.2%
Over 3.5
17.5%
Under 2.5
50.8%
BTTS
31.9%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.2%
0-0
7.9%
Match Context
SERMedium
Udinese
1.32
Draw
4.47
Torino
13.72
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Udinese 69.2%
--
Total
2.8
+7.9 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →