Torino vs Udinese prediction for May 2, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Udinese 1.38 - Torino 1.46. Udinese is favored with a 69.2% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.8..
Udinese
1.38
Projected Goals
VS
2.8 total
Torino
1.46
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
UdineseDrawTorino
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 78.8% (1,114 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Torino
0.71.52.2
Udinese
0.61.42.2
Projected
Udinese 1.38 — Torino 1.46
Actual
Udinese 2 — Torino 0
Expected Goals (xG)
Udinese1.37
Torino1.43
15.0Shots15.5
5.4On Target5.7
5.4Corners5.5
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
95.8%
Over 1.5
78.6%
Over 2.5
49.2%
Over 3.5
17.5%
Under 2.5
50.8%
BTTS
31.9%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.2%
0-0
7.9%
Match Context
SERMedium
Udinese
1.32
Draw
4.47
Torino
13.72
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Udinese 69.2%
--
Total
2.8
+7.9 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →