Levante vs Villarreal prediction for May 2, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Villarreal 1.86 - Levante 1.47. Villarreal is favored with a 60.6% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.3..
Villarreal
1.86
Projected Goals
VS
3.3 total
Levante
1.47
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
VillarrealDrawLevante
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 67.1% (1,114 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Levante
0.71.52.2
Villarreal
1.11.92.6
Projected
Villarreal 1.86 — Levante 1.47
Actual
Villarreal 5 — Levante 1
Expected Goals (xG)
Villarreal1.85
Levante1.45
18.5Shots16.0
7.1On Target5.8
5.9Corners5.7
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
96.6%
Over 1.5
85.7%
Over 2.5
68.4%
Over 3.5
23.5%
Under 2.5
31.6%
BTTS
34.0%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
1-2
7.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-0
6.7%
Match Context
LALCritical
Villarreal
1.71
Draw
4.24
Levante
4.62
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Villarreal 60.6%
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Total
3.3
+7.5 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →