Levante vs Villarreal prediction for May 2, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Villarreal 1.86 - Levante 1.47. Villarreal is favored with a 60.6% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.3..
Villarreal
1.86
Projected Goals
VS
3.3 total
Levante
1.47
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
VillarrealDrawLevante
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 69.1% (1,051 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Levante
0.71.52.2
Villarreal
1.11.92.6
Projected
Villarreal 1.86 — Levante 1.47
Actual
Villarreal 5 — Levante 1
Expected Goals (xG)
Villarreal1.85
Levante1.45
18.5Shots16.0
7.1On Target5.8
5.9Corners5.7
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
96.6%
Over 1.5
85.7%
Over 2.5
68.4%
Over 3.5
23.5%
Under 2.5
31.6%
BTTS
34.0%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
1-2
7.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-0
6.7%
Match Context
LALCritical
Villarreal
1.71
Draw
4.24
Levante
4.62
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Villarreal 60.6%
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Total
3.3
+7.5 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →