Augsburg vs Werder Bremen prediction for May 2, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Werder Bremen 1.5 - Augsburg 1.45. Augsburg is favored with a 57.4% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.0..
Werder Bremen
1.5
Projected Goals
VS
3.0 total
Augsburg
1.45
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Werder BremenDrawAugsburg
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 80.6% (1,114 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Augsburg
0.71.42.2
Werder Bremen
0.71.52.3
Expected Goals (xG)
Werder Bremen1.49
Augsburg1.44
15.8Shots15.7
5.8On Target5.7
5.4Corners5.4
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
95.8%
Over 1.5
79.9%
Over 2.5
50.5%
Over 3.5
18.7%
Under 2.5
49.5%
BTTS
51.9%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
7.0%
2-0
5.4%
Match Context
BUNMedium
Werder Bremen
3.71
Draw
3.43
Augsburg
2.05
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Augsburg 57.4%
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Total
3.0
+28.3 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →