West Ham United vs Brentford prediction for May 2, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Brentford 1.73 - West Ham United 1.39. West Ham United is favored with a 40.4% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.1..
Brentford
1.73
Projected Goals
VS
3.1 total
West Ham United
1.39
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
BrentfordDrawWest Ham United
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 73.1% (1,114 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
West Ham United
0.61.42.2
Brentford
1.01.72.5
Projected
Brentford 1.73 — West Ham United 1.39
Actual
Brentford 3 — West Ham United 0
Expected Goals (xG)
Brentford1.72
West Ham United1.39
17.5Shots15.3
6.6On Target5.6
5.7Corners5.4
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
96.6%
Over 1.5
82.0%
Over 2.5
53.3%
Over 3.5
20.7%
Under 2.5
46.7%
BTTS
32.5%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.2%
1-0
7.2%
1-2
7.0%
Match Context
EPLCritical
Brentford
1.89
Draw
4.00
West Ham United
4.08
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
West Ham United 40.4%
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Total
3.1
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →