West Ham United vs Brentford prediction for May 2, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Brentford 1.73 - West Ham United 1.39. West Ham United is favored with a 40.4% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.1..
Brentford
1.73
Projected Goals
VS
3.1 total
West Ham United
1.39
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
BrentfordDrawWest Ham United
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 75.5% (1,051 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
West Ham United
0.61.42.2
Brentford
1.01.72.5
Projected
Brentford 1.73 — West Ham United 1.39
Actual
Brentford 3 — West Ham United 0
Expected Goals (xG)
Brentford1.72
West Ham United1.39
17.5Shots15.3
6.6On Target5.6
5.7Corners5.4
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
96.6%
Over 1.5
82.0%
Over 2.5
53.3%
Over 3.5
20.7%
Under 2.5
46.7%
BTTS
32.5%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.2%
1-0
7.2%
1-2
7.0%
Match Context
EPLCritical
Brentford
1.89
Draw
4.00
West Ham United
4.08
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
West Ham United 40.4%
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Total
3.1
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →