PHI vs LAD prediction for May 29, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects LAD 5.1 - PHI 4.2. LAD is favored with a 59.7% win probability. The run line is 1.5 and the total is 8.5. Model projects 9.2 total runs.
LAD
5.1
Projected Score
VS
O/U 8.5
PHI
4.2
Projected Score
Win Probability
LADPHI
+1.5
Run Line (LAD)
8.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 61.3% (2,610 games)
Projected Runs Range 10th – 90th percentile
PHI
246
LAD
357
Projected
LAD 5.1 — PHI 4.2
Actual
LAD 4 — PHI 2
Starting Pitcher Matchup
Zack Wheeler R
PHI
FF37%95 mph24% whiff
SI17%94 mph2% whiff
FS15%87 mph40% whiff
Justin Wrobleski L
LAD
FF50%94 mph17% whiff
SL34%86 mph19% whiff
CU6%74 mph9% whiff
Weather Impact
Dodger Stadium
63°F8 mph wind
HR: 0.979 Total: 0.986
8mph in
Bullpen Comparison
PHI
4.39ERA
3.36FIP
10.37K/9
3.28BB/9
1.35WHIP
LAD
2.76ERA
2.98FIP
9.79K/9
3.58BB/9
1.10WHIP
Betting Edges
RUN_LINE HOME +1.5
-27.0% EV
-196
RUN_LINE AWAY -1.5
-23.0% EV
+162
F5_ML AWAY
-18.6% EV
-122
ML AWAY
-16.5% EV
+100
TOTAL UNDER 8.5
-11.0% EV
-123
F5_ML HOME
+9.5% EV
-102
First 5 Innings & NRFI
PHI F5
2.2 runs
35.6% win
LAD F5
2.9 runs
48.8% win
F5 Total
5.1
NRFI
53.9%
YRFI
46.1%
Avg 1st Inn Runs
0.97
HR Spotlight
Avg HRs
2.1
Over 0.5 HR
88%
Over 1.5 HR
62%
No HR
12%
Kyle Schwarber PHI30.0%
ISO: 0.343 | Barrel: 20.0% | vs Justin Wrobleski | Park: 0.92x
Bryce Harper PHI21.2%
ISO: 0.169 | Barrel: 15.0% | vs Justin Wrobleski | Park: 0.92x
Max Muncy LAD16.6%
ISO: 0.252 | Barrel: 14.8% | vs Zack Wheeler | Park: 0.92x Platoon: 1.12x
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
Zack Wheeler
0.0 K projected
PHI | K/9: 0.0
Justin Wrobleski
0.0 K projected
LAD | K/9: 0.0
Injury Report
PHI8 injured
Aaron Nola SPPATERNITY
Carson DeMartini SSDAY-TO-DAY
Bryan Rincon SSDAY-TO-DAY
Brandon Marsh LFDAY-TO-DAY
Kyle Backhus RP15-DAY-IL
Zach Pop RP15-DAY-IL
+2 more
LAD8 injured
Enrique Hernandez 1B10-DAY-IL
Teoscar Hernandez LFOUT
Kendall George CFOUT
Evan Phillips RP60-DAY-IL
Edwin Diaz RP60-DAY-IL
Tommy Edman 2B60-DAY-IL
+2 more
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
LAD 59.7%
-27.0 pts
Run Line
+1.5
-27.0 pts
Total
8.5
+2.7 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets MLB Baseball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →