Who is predicted to win PHI vs LAD on May 29, 2026?

Based on 10,000 Pitch Sim v5.3 Monte Carlo simulations, LAD is favored with a 59.7% win probability. The simulation's mean projected score is LAD 5.1 - PHI 4.2.

How did PHI vs LAD on May 29, 2026 end?

Final score: LAD 4 - PHI 2. This page now shows our pre-game projection alongside the actual outcome for transparency — every Olympus Bets projection is preserved with its result.

How does Olympus Bets generate sports predictions?

Every projection is produced by a league-specific Monte Carlo simulation engine (10,000+ iterations per game), Platt-scaled and isotonic-calibrated against historical outcomes, then sized with the Kelly Criterion plus a 15% Bayesian probability shrinkage. The full methodology is documented at https://app.olympus-bets.com/methodology.

PHI vs LAD Prediction & Picks — May 29, 2026

PHI vs LAD prediction for May 29, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects LAD 5.1 - PHI 4.2. LAD is favored with a 59.7% win probability. The run line is 1.5 and the total is 8.5. Model projects 9.2 total runs.

LAD

5.1

Projected Score

VS O/U 8.5

PHI

4.2

Projected Score

Win Probability

59.7%

40.3%

LADPHI

+1.5

Run Line (LAD)

8.5

Total Line

10,000

Simulations

☑ Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 58.3% (2,300 games)

Projected Runs Range 10th – 90th percentile

PHI

246

LAD

357

Projected

LAD 5.1 — PHI 4.2

Actual

LAD 4 — PHI 2

Starting Pitcher Matchup

Zack Wheeler R

PHI

FF37%95 mph24% whiff

SI17%94 mph2% whiff

FS15%87 mph40% whiff

Justin Wrobleski L

LAD

FF50%94 mph17% whiff

SL34%86 mph19% whiff

CU6%74 mph9% whiff

Weather Impact

Dodger Stadium

63°F8 mph wind

HR: 0.979 Total: 0.986

8mph in

Bullpen Comparison

PHI

4.39ERA

3.36FIP

10.37K/9

3.28BB/9

1.35WHIP

LAD

2.76ERA

2.98FIP

9.79K/9

3.58BB/9

1.10WHIP

Betting Edges

RUN_LINE HOME +1.5

-27.0% EV

-196

RUN_LINE AWAY -1.5

-23.0% EV

+162

F5_ML AWAY

-18.6% EV

-122

ML AWAY

-16.5% EV

+100

TOTAL UNDER 8.5

-11.0% EV

-123

F5_ML HOME

+9.5% EV

-102

First 5 Innings & NRFI

PHI F5

2.2 runs

35.6% win

LAD F5

2.9 runs

48.8% win

F5 Total

5.1

NRFI

53.9%

YRFI

46.1%

Avg 1st Inn Runs

0.97

HR Spotlight

Avg HRs

2.1

Over 0.5 HR

88%

Over 1.5 HR

62%

No HR

12%

Kyle Schwarber PHI30.0%

ISO: 0.343 | Barrel: 20.0% | vs Justin Wrobleski | Park: 0.92x

Bryce Harper PHI21.2%

ISO: 0.169 | Barrel: 15.0% | vs Justin Wrobleski | Park: 0.92x

Max Muncy LAD16.6%

ISO: 0.252 | Barrel: 14.8% | vs Zack Wheeler | Park: 0.92x Platoon: 1.12x

Pitcher Strikeout Projections

Zack Wheeler

0.0 K projected

PHI | K/9: 0.0

Justin Wrobleski

0.0 K projected

LAD | K/9: 0.0

Injury Report

PHI8 injured

Aaron Nola SPPATERNITY

Carson DeMartini SSDAY-TO-DAY

Bryan Rincon SSDAY-TO-DAY

Brandon Marsh LFDAY-TO-DAY

Kyle Backhus RP15-DAY-IL

Zach Pop RP15-DAY-IL

+2 more

LAD8 injured

Enrique Hernandez 1B10-DAY-IL

Teoscar Hernandez LFOUT

Kendall George CFOUT

Evan Phillips RP60-DAY-IL

Edwin Diaz RP60-DAY-IL

Tommy Edman 2B60-DAY-IL

+2 more

Edge Analysis

Moneyline

LAD 59.7%

-27.0 pts

Run Line