Model Scorecard — Graded Window
15-9
Record
62%
Win rate
L W L L W
Last 5
88
Games tracked
Pittsburgh Pirates Match Predictions & Results
| Date | Opponent | Match Prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | @ DET | PIT vs DET | FT |
| 2026-09-27 | @ DET | PIT vs DET | W 4–2 |
| 2026-09-26 | @ DET | PIT vs DET | L 3–4 |
| 2026-09-25 | @ DET | PIT vs DET | L 7–8 |
| 2026-09-24 | vs STL | STL vs PIT | W 2–1 |
| 2026-09-23 | vs STL | STL vs PIT | L 1–5 |
| 2026-09-22 | vs STL | STL vs PIT | W 2–0 |
| 2026-09-20 | vs KC | KC vs PIT | W 4–3 |
| 2026-09-19 | vs KC | KC vs PIT | W 6–5 |
| 2026-09-18 | vs KC | KC vs PIT | W 8–5 |
| 2026-09-17 | vs MIL | MIL vs PIT | W 7–4 |
| 2026-09-16 | vs MIL | MIL vs PIT | L 4–5 |
| 2026-09-15 | vs MIL | MIL vs PIT | L 1–5 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ CHC | PIT vs CHC | W 4–3 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ CHC | PIT vs CHC | L 3–4 |
| 2026-09-11 | @ CHC | PIT vs CHC | L 2–12 |
| 2026-09-10 | @ CWS | PIT vs CWS | W 2–0 |
| 2026-09-09 | @ CWS | PIT vs CWS | W 4–2 |
| 2026-09-08 | @ CWS | PIT vs CWS | W 9–3 |
| 2026-09-06 | vs LAA | LAA vs PIT | W 1–0 |
| 2026-09-05 | vs LAA | LAA vs PIT | L 1–6 |
| 2026-09-04 | vs LAA | LAA vs PIT | W 1–0 |
| 2026-09-03 | vs SF | SF vs PIT | W 5–2 |
| 2026-09-02 | vs SF | SF vs PIT | L 4–5 |
| 2026-09-01 | vs SF | SF vs PIT | W 13–12 |
How these projections are generated: every Pittsburgh Pirates game runs through the
MLB Monte Carlo simulation engine
(10,000+ iterations), with probabilities
Bayesian-calibrated against resolved outcomes.
Results are graded from official final scores. All of today's predictions · How the MLB model works · MLB premium picks