Model Scorecard — Graded Window
11-13
Record
46%
Win rate
L W L L L
Last 5
90
Games tracked
Boston Red Sox Match Predictions & Results
| Date | Opponent | Match Prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | @ NYY | BOS vs NYY | L 2–9 |
| 2026-09-29 | @ NYY | BOS vs NYY | L 0–9 |
| 2026-09-28 | vs CHC | CHC vs BOS | FT |
| 2026-09-27 | vs CHC | CHC vs BOS | L 2–6 |
| 2026-09-25 | vs CHC | CHC vs BOS | W 2–0 |
| 2026-09-24 | vs CLE | CLE vs BOS | L 0–1 |
| 2026-09-23 | vs CLE | CLE vs BOS | W 1–0 |
| 2026-09-22 | vs CLE | CLE vs BOS | L 2–3 |
| 2026-09-20 | @ TB | BOS vs TB | L 1–5 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ TB | BOS vs TB | L 1–2 |
| 2026-09-18 | @ TB | BOS vs TB | W 4–2 |
| 2026-09-17 | @ TEX | BOS vs TEX | W 4–3 |
| 2026-09-16 | @ TEX | BOS vs TEX | L 3–7 |
| 2026-09-15 | @ TEX | BOS vs TEX | L 2–4 |
| 2026-09-13 | vs KC | KC vs BOS | W 4–1 |
| 2026-09-12 | vs KC | KC vs BOS | W 5–1 |
| 2026-09-11 | vs KC | KC vs BOS | L 2–3 |
| 2026-09-09 | vs LAA | LAA vs BOS | L 4–6 |
| 2026-09-08 | vs LAA | LAA vs BOS | L 1–6 |
| 2026-09-07 | vs LAA | LAA vs BOS | W 5–2 |
| 2026-09-06 | @ BAL | BOS vs BAL | W 3–1 |
| 2026-09-05 | @ BAL | BOS vs BAL | W 5–0 |
| 2026-09-04 | @ BAL | BOS vs BAL | W 1–0 |
| 2026-09-03 | @ BAL | BOS vs BAL | W 6–5 |
| 2026-09-02 | vs SEA | SEA vs BOS | L 3–8 |
How these projections are generated: every Boston Red Sox game runs through the
MLB Monte Carlo simulation engine
(10,000+ iterations), with probabilities
Bayesian-calibrated against resolved outcomes.
Results are graded from official final scores. All of today's predictions · How the MLB model works · MLB premium picks