Model Scorecard — Graded Window
16-5
Record
76%
Win rate
W L L W L
Last 5
96
Games tracked
San Diego Padres Match Predictions & Results
| Date | Opponent | Match Prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | vs MIL | MIL vs SD | L 1–3 |
| 2026-10-06 | vs MIL | MIL vs SD | W 4–3 |
| 2026-10-04 | @ MIL | SD vs MIL | L 3–4 |
| 2026-10-03 | @ MIL | SD vs MIL | L 2–3 |
| 2026-09-30 | vs CHC | CHC vs SD | W 4–1 |
| 2026-09-29 | vs CHC | CHC vs SD | W 8–0 |
| 2026-09-28 | vs ARI | ARI vs SD | FT |
| 2026-09-27 | vs ARI | ARI vs SD | FT |
| 2026-09-26 | vs ARI | ARI vs SD | FT |
| 2026-09-25 | vs ARI | ARI vs SD | FT |
| 2026-09-24 | @ LAD | SD vs LAD | W 4–2 |
| 2026-09-23 | @ LAD | SD vs LAD | W 5–1 |
| 2026-09-22 | @ LAD | SD vs LAD | L 0–7 |
| 2026-09-20 | vs MIA | MIA vs SD | W 7–3 |
| 2026-09-19 | vs MIA | MIA vs SD | W 7–6 |
| 2026-09-18 | vs MIA | MIA vs SD | W 8–2 |
| 2026-09-17 | @ COL | SD vs COL | W 9–2 |
| 2026-09-16 | @ COL | SD vs COL | W 9–3 |
| 2026-09-15 | @ COL | SD vs COL | L 3–9 |
| 2026-09-14 | @ COL | SD vs COL | W 8–7 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ SF | SD vs SF | W 6–4 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ SF | SD vs SF | W 7–6 |
| 2026-09-11 | @ SF | SD vs SF | W 7–5 |
| 2026-09-09 | vs WSH | WSH vs SD | W 9–2 |
| 2026-09-08 | vs WSH | WSH vs SD | W 5–4 |
How these projections are generated: every San Diego Padres game runs through the
MLB Monte Carlo simulation engine
(10,000+ iterations), with probabilities
Bayesian-calibrated against resolved outcomes.
Results are graded from official final scores. All of today's predictions · How the MLB model works · MLB premium picks